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AUD/USD Forex Technical Analysis – Strengthens Over .6921, Weakens Under .6889

The Australian Dollar finished lower on Friday despite a surge in demand for higher-risk assets. The Aussie finished well off its low, however, after the U.S. Dollar weakened.

Driving the price action on Friday were hopes of a potential vaccine for the novel coronavirus after Gilead Sciences Inc said additional data from a late-state study showed its antiviral remdesivir reduced the risk of death and significantly improved the conditions of severely ill COVID-19 patients.

That news helped push U.S. equities higher while dampening the appeal of the U.S. Dollar as a safe-haven asset.

On Friday, the AUD/USD settled at .6948, down 0.0016 or -0.23%.

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Gains were likely limited as sentiment for the Aussie continued to take a hit after coronavirus lockdown measures were reimposed in Australia’s second biggest city of Melbourne on Tuesday.

Daily AUD/USD
Daily AUD/USD

Daily Swing Chart Technical Analysis

The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart, however, momentum shifted to the downside on July 9 with the formation of a closing price reversal top. A trade through .7001 will negate the closing price reversal top and signal a resumption of the uptrend. The main trend will change to down on a move through the nearest swing bottom at .6833.

The minor trend is also up. A trade through .6922 will change the minor trend to down. This will confirm the shift in momentum.

The first short-term range is .7065 to .6777. Its 50% level at .6921 is potential support.

The second short-term range is .6777 to .7001. Its 50% support level comes in at .6889.

Short-Term Outlook

The next major move in the AUD/USD will be determined by how investors handle the two 50% levels at .6921 and .6889.

The bullish tone is likely to remain intact if buyers can hold above .6921. A bearish tone is likely to develop if the selling is strong enough to take out the 50% level at .6889.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

This article was originally posted on FX Empire

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