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McKesson Stock Is Believed To Be Fairly Valued

- By GF Value

The stock of McKesson (NYSE:MCK, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $197.61 per share and the market cap of $31.5 billion, McKesson stock shows every sign of being fairly valued. GF Value for McKesson is shown in the chart below.


McKesson Stock Is Believed To Be Fairly Valued
McKesson Stock Is Believed To Be Fairly Valued

Because McKesson is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth, which averaged 12.6% over the past three years and is estimated to grow 4.38% annually over the next three to five years.

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Link: These companies may deliever higher future returns at reduced risk.

Investing in companies with poor financial strength has a higher risk of permanent loss of capital. Thus, it is important to carefully review the financial strength of a company before deciding whether to buy its stock. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great starting point for understanding the financial strength of a company. McKesson has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.38, which is better than 100% of the companies in Market Overview industry. GuruFocus ranks the overall financial strength of McKesson at 5 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of McKesson is fair. This is the debt and cash of McKesson over the past years:

McKesson Stock Is Believed To Be Fairly Valued
McKesson Stock Is Believed To Be Fairly Valued

Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. McKesson has been profitable 10 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $237.6 billion and loss of $26.92 a share. Its operating margin of 1.35% better than 100% of the companies in Market Overview industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks McKesson's profitability as fair. This is the revenue and net income of McKesson over the past years:

McKesson Stock Is Believed To Be Fairly Valued
McKesson Stock Is Believed To Be Fairly Valued

Growth is probably one of the most important factors in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus' research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long-term performance of a company's stock. If a company's business is growing, the company usually creates value for its shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. Likewise, if a company's revenue and earnings are declining, the value of the company will decrease. McKesson's 3-year average revenue growth rate is better than 100% of the companies in Market Overview industry. McKesson's 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -29.5%, which ranks better than 100% of the companies in Market Overview industry.

One can also evaluate a company's profitability by comparing its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the return on invested capital exceeds the weighted average cost of capital, the company is likely creating value for its shareholders. During the past 12 months, McKesson's ROIC is 11.92 while its WACC came in at 4.96.

Overall, the stock of McKesson (NYSE:MCK, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be fairly valued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks better than 100% of the companies in Market Overview industry. To learn more about McKesson stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

To find out the high quality companies that may deliever above average returns, please check out GuruFocus High Quality Low Capex Screener.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.