Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI)

Xi just doubled down on the zero COVID policy and warned anyone who questioned his authority and strategy. Inflation was a problem before Putin invaded Ukraine. That only exacerbated inflation. This means inflation is here to stay, if not will only get worse when, not if, China continues to lock down tens to hundreds of millions of people, for just a few handful of COVID cases. We know the virus can keep this up indefinitely. The market's rally the past 2 years will be undone. I have to admit there's A LOT further down to sell off now that Xi has doubled down on his policies that are creating inflation for the rest of the world, and his buddy in Russia is making it worse.

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Do the math… It’s cheaper to fly than drive……

All airlines heading to the mother lode in turbo mode… Spring break will be just the beginning of the massive movement of traveling…

#AAL #UAL #BA #LUV #ALK #SAVE #JBLU #DAL #JETS #MESA #ALK #HA #^DJI #^IXIC

I hope that everyone has read Chapter 1 & 2 from the book "The Intelligent Investor" on Investment vs. Speculation & Inflation. You will understand where the market currently is and what will happen in the near future with increasing inflation and eventual increase in interest rates.

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Hey guys, just wondering how much you guys are up YTD or since the market crashed in late Feb. Just curious. If you're not comfortable listing a % gain/loss, you can simply note you're at a loss or a gain since (x date). We're all here to make money, so I hope you all are.

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I hear analysts point out that even with today's move we are still not in "correction territory." Correction being a drop of 10% or more from the recent/all time highs. They'll point out the $^DJI is only less than 8.5% off its highs, no need to worry! Well it depends how you calculate the all-time highs. Based on my calculations the Dow is down more than 11.5% from highs so we are well in the correction mode. My method is take the highs of each stock no matter when it occurred and calculate the index price, not just the index as one stock. My approach is bottom-up, not top-down. Which I think, mine, is a more accurate formula.

If you're new to the stock market, welcome! The sooner you learn the market cycle, the sooner you'll accept the emotional roller coaster you'll be going on. Contrary to recent popular euphoric myth, pandemics, recessions and depressions of -60% to -90% or more drops in the stock market are not strange anomalies restricted to the past only.

https://photos.app.goo.gl/PzVLsu2afMbucPMd6

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Shiller P/E is 33+ on the S&P500. This market is WAY overvalued.

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OK OK, the S&P broke support today. It started off good, but I think Dr. Fauci's testimony about reopening too early causing more death and destruction spooked the market. Sold all longs a few mins ago and went to $TVIX and some $SQQQ. After all, the market only went up on hope/hype of a reopening.

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Shutdown 2.0 is here, and the second wave of coronavirus isn't even here yet.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/13/california-to-close-indoor-restaurants-movie-theaters-and-bars-statewide-as-coronavirus-cases-rise.html

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If you were smart, you would have moved 401K out for any trapped bag holders and sold your long positions. Next week the real blood bath begins. Manipulator always try to keep the market in a controlled free fall by pushing it up on Fridays so the weekly numbers look good and so they can short for the following week.

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Massive demands for travel coming in March... Summer of 2021 will be a record for air travel... Thanksgiving and Christmas will be off the charts...

All Airlines will return to pre COVID-19 levels in a record level...

#AAL #UAL #BA #LUV #JBLU #DAL #MESA #ALK #SKYW #HA #^DJI #^IXIC

Even with most countries (China, Iran, Italy, U.S.) except for South Korea and Singapore faking their numbers, the log chart shows exponential growth of cases (i.e. 45% daily increases of the total). Imagine if countries, including the U.S. were actually truthful and giving real figures. We'd not just have exponential (highlighted yellow, straight line), but we'd have an acceleration of the exponential (what we're seeing with the red arrow direction). I calculated we should see 13-14 more after the 9 from yesterday. Today, 12 got added to 9, making it 21. So far my math is pretty much spot on. The day is still young. More reports should be coming in.

https://photos.app.goo.gl/rWDiXEc2d1X7AYFN9

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"Powell likely going to have to raise interest rates."

Yes. As inflation increases, the way to curb it is through raising interest rates. The fed originally stated that rates weren't going to rise until at least 2022. However, it seems that we may see a rate increase sooner than expected.

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$^DJI conversation
Here is your daily reminder of why America rejected Trumpy the One-Term Disaster:
1) Crashed the economy......................................Check
2) Millions unemployed.........................................Check
3) Hundreds of thousands dead...........................Check
4) Food lines.........................................................Check
5) Mass protests....................................................Check
6) No vaccination distribution plan........................Check
7) Crooks & war criminals pardoned.....................Check
8) Publicly blow Putin in Helsinki...........................Check
9) Dictators and fascists coddled...........................Check
10) US Security systems compromised.................Check

*Bonus failure:
11) Incite insurrection.............................................Check

Here's the real problem. And it's not even the fall 2nd wave yet. We're still in the first wave.
https://photos.app.goo.gl/afF8oi81Y17VYWRKA

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COVID deaths up. We will be hitting records in the next few days. Deficit spending up. Companies have decreased earnings, yet markets are at ATH. This is a classic bubble folks. S&P500 is worth half of what it is today, based on the Shiller P/E.

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Surprise! I bet it's higher than this because again, you can't use the CURRENT death count and divide by the TOTAL infected. You have to divide it by a few days in the past to even get a generally somewhat accurate estimate. Once all the people on the cruise ship survives/deceases, we can calculate from that, but that'll be dependent on the type of passengers too.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/03/who-says-coronavirus-death-rate-is-3point4percent-globally-higher-than-previously-thought.html

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Judge should overturn the tax free unemployment income from 2020 next. It's theft to get 10k and not pay any tax while someone who works for 10k must pay tax.

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