Q1 2024 Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp Earnings Call

Participants

Mark Defazio; President, Chief Executive Officer, Director; Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp

Daniel Dougherty; Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President; Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp

Mark Fitzgibbon; Analyst; Piper Sandler & Co.

Christopher O'Connell; Analyst; Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc.

Alex Lau; Analyst; JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Presentation

Operator

Good day, and welcome to metropolitan Commercial Bank's first quarter 2024 earnings call. Hosting the call from Metropolitan Commercial Bank are Mark DeFazio, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Dan Daugherty, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Today's call is being recorded. (Operator Instructions)
During today's presentation, reference will be made to the Company's earnings release and investor presentation, copies of which are available at MCbankNY.com.
Today's presentation may include forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. Please refer to the Company's notices regarding forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures that appear in the earnings release.
It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to Mark DeFazio, CEO, President and Chief Executive Officer. You may begin. Thank you.

Mark Defazio

Good morning, and thank you for joining our first quarter earnings call for the first quarter of 2024 was very productive for MCB. Our first quarter results were a strong start for the Company. During the quarter, we carefully grew the balance sheet while maintaining our price discipline, credit standards and with a continued sharp focus on liquidity and interest rate risk management. We were also able to grow core deposits well in excess of our loan growth.
Our two major initiatives planned for 2024 the wind-down of the GPG. business and the digital transformation projects have begun in earnest and are proceeding on time and on budget. While we remain focused on the continuation of an expansion of our profitable and disciplined commercial bank growth strategy. In the first quarter, we reported an earnings per share of $1.46, which was reported by strong and sorry, which was supported by strong growth in net interest income and continued excellent credit performance.
In the meantime, the successful completion of our other initiatives remain a high priority. The economy continues to display strong fundamentals an impressive resilience. This is evident as the evident strength of the economy provides us with an open up an optimistic outlook for loan growth and credit performance.
The outlook for monetary policy has changed dramatically over the last several months rather than expect expectations of significant easing throughout 2024. The market is now pricing in less than 50 basis points of easing in the back half of the year. I am pleased to report we saw four basis points margin expansion in the first quarter, even with the change in the outlook of monetary policy, we continue to expect further margin expansion as the year progresses.
Asset quality remains strong. We have not identified any broad based negative trends in any loan product, geography or sector that is impacting our portfolio. We believe that our healthy credit metrics are a direct result of MCB's pricing, disciplined, conservative underwriting and portfolio diversity. Also as our performance is supported by the exclusive focus on relationship-based commercial banking and high-quality commercial clients and sponsors in industry segments that we know exceptionally well.
Finally, I am pleased to report that the two loans totaling approximately $21 million that were classified as nonperforming loans at [1231] last year are now current have substantial funded interest reserves and the related workouts also include targeted and aggressive amortization requirements throughout this year.
I will now turn the call over to Dan Dougherty.

Daniel Dougherty

Thank you, Mark. Good morning and thanks again for joining our first quarter earnings call. First quarter loan growth growth over $94 million was funded entirely by core deposit growth of more than $340 million, excluding additional growth in the VAS verticals. As mentioned in the press release, multiple deposit verticals contributed to the core deposit growth.
As a result of our deposit growth are our end-of-period and average balance of cash parked at the Fed was substantially elevated. Despite the outsized cash position and the current rate environment, we were able to increase the net interest margin by four basis points in the first quarter. Our loan pricing and repricing discipline was the main driver of our ability to expand, and we expect to see some additional uplift in the margin throughout the remainder of the year. In our updated forecast model, we have penciled in a single 25 basis point rate cut in September. In that scenario, we expect to see approximately 5 basis points to 10 basis points of additional uplift.
Put another way. We forecast the fourth quarter NIM in the range of 3.45% to 3.5%. Focusing on lending, it is noteworthy that our quarterly low loan growth was net of more than $225 million in payoffs and paydowns. Continued focus on economic loan pricing resulted in a weighted average coupon net of deferred fees, which are typically 15 basis points to 25 basis points per year of 8.47% on first quarter new loan originations and draws versus a December '23 portfolio coupon of 6.92%.
Loan growth is expected to accelerate as the year progresses. We continue to plan on loan growth of between 608,000,608 hundred million for the year. Our loan pipelines, especially on the C&I side, are growing after a slower than expected start to the year. Importantly, our plan assumes that we're able to fund all of that planned loan growth with deposits.
As Bobby mentioned, asset quality remains strong with no identifiable negative trends in the portfolio. The provision in the first quarter was generally in line with the increase in footings, offset somewhat by improvements in the macroeconomic variables that underlie our first quarter CECL model forecasts noninterest income increased by approximately 7% from the linked quarter as fees associated with letter of credit activity and deposit service charges more than offset a small decline in VAS revenue the uptick in deposit fees is expected to be sustainable.
While the increase in letter of credit fees is more aligned with borrower behavior, the decline in VAS revenue will accelerate as the wind-down project proceed throughout the year, we expect PaaS revenue to total $8 million to $10 million and total noninterest income to foot to $19 million to $21 million for the year for its non-interest expenses.
Non-interest expenses totaled $41.9 million in the first quarter. Importantly, expenses related to the digital transformation project totaled $1.8 million in addition and an additional $3.1 million reflects remediation work and severance payments associated with the GPG wind-down. There was also an increase in core operating expenses compared to the fourth quarter. This was primarily due to seasonally elevated employer tax payment.
Our $12 million digital transformation budget means or is unchanged, and we continue to expect to complete the project in 2025. We currently expect about $8 million to $9 million of the project to be expensed in 2024, including what has already been recorded for the first quarter. Noninterest expenses for the full year, including the digital transformation investment, are expected to total in the range of $160 million to $163 million. The effective tax rate for the quarter was approximately 33%. The tax rate was negatively impacted by discrete items that came through in the quarter, primarily related to the conversion of employee stock-based awards. Going forward, we expect the effective tax rate to be in the range of 31% to 32%, excluding discrete items.
And finally, please refer to the updated investor deck, which can be accessed from our website for walk down from reported earnings to non-GAAP core earnings as well. The debt now includes slides that provide details about the bank's multifamily and office loan portfolios.
I will now turn the call back two, our upgrades.

Question and Answer Session

Operator

(Operator Instructions)
Mark Fitzgibbon, Piper Sandler.
Please go ahead.

Mark Fitzgibbon

Hey guys. Good morning, nice quarter. First question I had just to clarify, we still should expect about $300 million of B2C deposits running off in the second quarter? Is that is that right?

Daniel Dougherty

It's approximately yes, it's a good estimate towards the end of the second quarter, especially, yes.

Mark Fitzgibbon

Okay. And should we assume that your deposit pipelines continue to be strong given the success you had in the first quarter?

Mark Defazio

Yes, yes, the answer is sorry. Yes, the answer is yes. But the timing of these new relationships and deepening some of them could be a bit different. But to Dan's point, at the end of the year, we are confident that we will not only replace those deposits, but we will have funded our loan growth. So from a quarter by quarter basis, it could be a little timing could be slightly off on but on an annualized basis, we are still in line with our projections.

Mark Fitzgibbon

Okay. And then in the past, you all had indicated that you were talking to some teams from neighboring banks from. I haven't seen any announcements from you all, or is that still in process? Is it likely that you'll hire some of those deposit teams in coming quarters?

Mark Defazio

You know, it's interesting question. We've met with several and none of them were really a good fit so far for a lot of different reasons from cultural fit to pricing to loan expectations to support clients as a whole host of of parts to that conversation. And so far, we've never built this franchise based on teams for a lot of different reasons. And but we did speak to several teams and but we have not made a decision on any one of them, but I would put a low probability on on that happening in 2024.

Mark Fitzgibbon

Mark, do you think some of these teams are getting unrealistic deals from other banks or the banks are paying too much to bring these teams on?

Mark Defazio

Well, I don't know what they negotiated, perhaps they're better negotiator than me. But dumb when I when I look at the three biggest hurdles are all nice people by the way coming into the bank. But And culturally, it's a very difficult fit. You know, they're used to working in teams. They're not integrated with the company on its order out of character for what we've built here as commercial bank on the kind of integration we have. You had a kind of culture, not only works for our staff, but also works for our clients. Our clients expect that kind of relationship banking.
So that's the problem. Number one, number two, on the way in even if you think that the cost of those deposits are affordable today are efficient. You've got to kind of dig in a little deeper and look at total compensation expectations. And what I found most problematic is the implication of loan expectations a lot of these deposit teams represent a lot of real estate owners in multifamily. And although we have multifamily on the balance sheet, it will never be a primary asset class at MCB, it is a low profitable business.
So I don't want to upset anybody up for failure, encourage them to come here. We attempt to integrate them. And then find out, we can't replace the loans as they mature out of their existing banks in multifamily. So there's a few other ag, but other other conversation points, all nice people. I wish them well. But so far it has not been a good fit for MCB. for a lot of reasons.

Mark Fitzgibbon

Okay. And last question -- Dan, the guidance you gave was super helpful, though. The one thing you didn't give guidance on was the provision based on your projection for $600 million to $800 million of loan growth and assuming no real changes to the economic model and how what does that kind of spit out in terms of provisioning for the year

Daniel Dougherty

We should see about 1% of growth as our provision level. So I'm thinking 6% to 8%, maybe a little, maybe a little bit more, but I think [60], it's a good context for the provision for the remainder of the year.

Mark Fitzgibbon

Thank you.

Operator

Christopher O'Connell, KBW.

Christopher O'Connell

Hey, good morning. So just wondering to start off on the expense side. I appreciate the guidance there. And the guidance around the digital transformation costs as well for the guide the [161 to 163]. That includes the core OpEx plus the digital transformation. Does that include the GPG wind down and regulatory remediation costs?

Daniel Dougherty

Yes, it does, Chris.

Christopher O'Connell

Okay, got it. And can you just walk us through like what exactly the regulatory remediation costs relate to and how much of the GPG. wind-down and regulatory remediation costs remain, if any, over the course of the year, it really is made up of legal and professional fees, consulting fees.

Mark Defazio

As you all know, we have two public consent orders out there, which are expensive to unwind and get removed. We're confident that we can satisfy the expectations throughout this year, but consultants are very expensive today. Regulators expect independent validations done by third parties on you need lawyers to look at every document you center regulators today.
So it's an expensive and unfortunate expense, but we expected to run off at the end of this year and not and not be in a 2025 run rate can't really allocate that. We're very precise on the budget for for the for the technology integration, but regulatory expenses and legal fees and consulting fees is somewhat of a moving target. We think we gave you worst-case scenario in Dan's projections.

Christopher O'Connell

And just do you have any ballpark as to like the total dollar amount of those costs throughout 2024.

Mark Defazio

Well, if you just back out what you know, how much we're spending in the digital transformation back-out, take that off of what the guidance Dan just gave. You gives you a ballpark of the exit fees and professional fees at GPG. exit cost and the professional fees, but it would rather give you a worst case scenario than trying to allocate.

Christopher O'Connell

I guess what I'm getting at is when you back out the digital transformation costs and the rest of these one-time costs in there as you're getting to 4Q '24 1Q '25, do you have a sense of what the core kind of underlying expense run rate will shake out at?

Daniel Dougherty

It's a really good question, Chris and I have been noodling on that for quite some time. I come up with around [148 to 150] as a range of core expenses by the time we get to '25. So again, that estimate is very dependent on the timing and success of our remediation project and remediation requirements. But I think that's a good placeholder.

Christopher O'Connell

No, that's super helpful. Thank you. And then just as far as I really appreciate the color on the multi-family and office slides in the deck. It looks to me that there's on the rent regulated side and on the office side that you have no nonperformers right now from what I could tell you how are you guys feeling about the maturities in those two buckets over the course of 2024? Do you guys have a good look into those borrowers and those credits and it looks a little bit lighter on the rent-regulated multifamily side, but about roughly a third, give or take of the office kind of matures this year?

Mark Defazio

Yes. I would expect is that done with the exception of the credits that we want to keep and we reprice and keep it up because we have a high retention rate here on the rest and we'll get paid off it out of the over $200 million in the first quarter. Some of it was on multifamily as well and perhaps some office. So we do not expect to be in a on a rollover situation where one cannot be refinanced or we would not be interested in refinancing the credit.

Daniel Dougherty

I would add further that our credit team has looked at each if its maturity in 2024, we've already been in touch with the customers. And we again, we don't detect anything negative trends out there that are material nature that bring it to your attention.

Christopher O'Connell

Great. And just the timing of the GPG. deposit roll off, I know you guys covered Q2 and just given that there was actually kind of surprisingly growth this quarter in that category. And how are you guys thinking about the timing of the rest of that roll-off into the back half of the year, is it going to be more weighted toward Q3 or Q4 or is it pretty even across the two quarters?

Mark Defazio

I think based on our schedule what we what we call B2C by the end of the summer by August on that should be complete. And then in the third and fourth quarter, the B2B deposit should be complete. But I would extend the B2C to the end of the summer to August.

Christopher O'Connell

Was the growth this quarter in B2C or B2B or mix?

Daniel Dougherty

It was a mix actually.

Christopher O'Connell

Great. That's all I had for now. Thanks for taking our your questions.

Operator

Alex Lau, JPMorgan.

Alex Lau

Hi, good morning. Staying on the GPG runoff schedule, what are your expectations for the for the quarterly pace of reduction in GPU fee income and expenses for the year.

Daniel Dougherty

So you saw in Q1, we printed $4 million of fee income on. I don't expect that the decline in the second quarter is going to be materially different than that. But then as you get into Q3 and Q4, that it's going to accelerate rapidly, again, $8 million to $10 million, my forecast for the entirety of the year on the I think that's the best way to think about it.

Alex Lau

Great, thank you. And on the the $90 million increase in non-interest bearing deposits this quarter, where did you see that come from in terms of deposit verticals and looking ahead, where do you expect balances to grow, if any, that?

Daniel Dougherty

A significant portion of that was from the Bass side? So some of it was from retail. But again, there was a good portion on the van side and it becomes part of the forecasted outflows over the remainder of the year.

Alex Lau

Great. Thank you. And then regarding the NPA that moved to current, were there any specific reserves? And do you expect any releases related to these loans?

Mark Defazio

Yes. We're hoping that in the second quarter, when we report we could release those reserves, but we wanted to season for a bit more prudent to just let it season there, at least for a quarter. But as I said we have substantial interest reserves now from that go well, people well beyond the of the first quarter. So yes, we'll take a hard look at that, but we're expecting it to get reversed in the second quarter.

Alex Lau

Great. Thank you for answering my questions.

Mark Defazio

Thank you, Alex.

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude the allotted time for questions. I would now like to turn the call back to Mark DeFazio for any additional or closing remarks.

Mark Defazio

Thank you. I do not have any specific remarks. I just want to thank everyone again for their continued support and continue the continued support of MCB and we have an exciting franchise here with a great growth story that will just continue. So thank you again, and enjoy the rest of your day and weekend. Thank you, everyone.

Operator

This does conclude today's conference call and webcast. A webcast archive of this call can be found at www.MCbankny.com. Please disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day.